Carbonate Parameter Estimation and Its Application in Revealing Temporal and Spatial Variation in the South and Mid-Atlantic Bight, USA

Author(s)Li, Xinyu
Author(s)Xu, Yuan-Yuan
Author(s)Kirchman, David L.
Author(s)Cai, Wei-Jun
Date Accessioned2022-07-14T14:52:30Z
Date Available2022-07-14T14:52:30Z
Publication Date2022-06-22
DescriptionThis article was originally published by AGU in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. Copyright 2022 American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. The version of record is available at: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018811. This article will be embargoed until 12/22/2022.en_US
AbstractTo overcome the limitations due to sporadic carbonate parameter data, this study developed and evaluated empirical multiple linear regression (MLR) models for dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), pH in total scale (pHT), and aragonite carbonate saturation state (ΩAr) using hydrographic data (temperature, salinity, and oxygen) measured during 2007–2018 in the South Atlantic Bight (SAB) and Mid-Atlantic Bight (MAB) along the U.S. East Coast. We first reviewed the assumptions and routines of MLR models and then generated MLR models for each cruise for all three carbonate parameters in each region and assessed model performance. Models derived from measured spectrophotometric pH have smaller uncertainties than pHT models based on pH calculated from total alkalinity (TA) and DIC. The regional differences of carbonate parameters between MAB and SAB are reflected in the coefficients of the empirical models. The MLR model temporal consistency indicates that the effect of the atmospheric CO2 increase on seawater carbonate parameters cannot be unequivocally resolved for the period of this study in the regions. Therefore, we combined different cruises to build composite models for each region. The composite models can capture the key features in the SAB and MAB. To further assess the model applicability, we applied our models to Biogeochemical-Argo data to reconstruct carbonate parameters. The algorithm in this study helps to reconstruct seawater carbonate chemistry using proxy data of high spatial and temporal resolution, which will enhance our understanding of physical and biological processes on carbon cycle and the long-term anthropogenic carbon inputs in coastal oceans. Key Points: - pH estimation models based on measured pH have smaller uncertainties than those based on pH calculated from other carbonate parameters - Models differ between the Mid and South Atlantic Bights, and their temporal changes due to atmospheric CO2 are limited over 10 years - Multiple linear regression models provide a promising tool for reconstructing carbonate parameters using data from autonomous platforms Plain Language Summary: Coastal ocean carbon cycling is a complex process that is influenced by various physical and biological processes. Sporadic carbonate data challenges our understanding of carbon cycling in coastal areas. We first reviewed the assumptions and routines in developing coastal empirical models, and then built linear regression models with frequently measured seawater properties, such as temperature, salinity, and O2, to estimate the carbonate variables along the U.S. East Coast. The key features of seawater carbonate parameters are captured by the empirical models. The sub-regional differences are reflected in the coefficients of the empirical models. We also found that the effect of anthropogenic carbon dioxide increase on the DIC is limited over 10 years. This study helps to reconstruct seawater carbonate chemistry where data are limited, predict future changes in coastal carbonate chemistry, and enhance our understanding of long-term anthropogenic carbon inputs in the coastal ocean.en_US
SponsorThe fieldwork and synthesis have been supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Ocean Acidification Program (OAP). We thank captains and crew of all vessels involved in collecting the data at sea and the outstanding technical staff, students, postdocs, and PIs at NOAA and partner labs for their collaboration on the first decade of NOAA ocean acidification cruises. In particular, we thank Joseph Salisbury, Chris Langdon, and Rik Wanninkhof for contributing hydrographic, dissolved O2, and DIC data and helpful discussions and data quality assurance/quality control. Y.-Y. Xu's research was carried out in part under the auspices of the Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS), a Cooperative Institute of the University of Miami and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, cooperative agreement # NA20OAR4320472.en_US
CitationLi, X., Xu, Y.-Y., Kirchman, D. L., & Cai, W.-J. (2022). Carbonate parameter estimation and its application in revealing temporal and spatial variation in the South and Mid-Atlantic Bight, USA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2022JC018811. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018811en_US
ISSN2169-9291
URLhttps://udspace.udel.edu/handle/19716/31120
Languageen_USen_US
PublisherJournal of Geophysical Research: Oceansen_US
TitleCarbonate Parameter Estimation and Its Application in Revealing Temporal and Spatial Variation in the South and Mid-Atlantic Bight, USAen_US
TypeArticleen_US
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