The Issuance Of Earthquake "Predictions:" Scientific Approaches And Public Policy Strategies

Author(s)Nigg, Joanne M.
Date Accessioned2005-02-03T20:06:23Z
Date Available2005-02-03T20:06:23Z
Publication Date1998
DescriptionThe effectiveness of earthquake prediction as a tool for reducing earthquake impacts depends, in part, on developing community response plans that can be implemented when predictions are issued. The overarching policy issue--how to lessen earthquake losses to the built environment and social systems by disseminating forewarnings of future damaging earthquake events--has continued to be the focus of governmental efforts to deal with scientific forecasts (e.g., FEMA 1983, 1985, 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1995) but the specific strategies considered have varied, often due to changes in scientific approaches to prediction. This case study will trace the interwoven strands of scientific approaches and policy responses to earthquake predictions during the past 25 years, beginning in the early 1970s until today. The State of California has been the focus for concentrated research--in both earth science and social science--on earthquake prediction during this period; however, federal policy has had an important role in identifying priorities for both scientists and state and local government officials with respect to the manner in which earthquake predictions would impact upon society.en
Extent78938 bytes
MIME typeapplication/pdf
URLhttp://udspace.udel.edu/handle/19716/288
Languageen_US
PublisherDisaster Research Centeren
Part of SeriesPreliminary Paper;275
KeywordsEarthquake-Generalen
TitleThe Issuance Of Earthquake "Predictions:" Scientific Approaches And Public Policy Strategiesen
TypeOtheren
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